Sa v Carlsen

Kenneth Carlsen takes it, 10–3 on categories

Carlsen wins on first-serve points won %. Sa’s case rests on return points won %, but it isn’t enough to swing it. ATP Tour career: Sa 136 matches, Carlsen 513 matches.

• Carlsen averages 7.7 aces a match to Sa’s 2.8 — 2.7 times as many.
• Carlsen has the better first-serve points won %: 74.9 to Sa’s 64.9.
• Carlsen has the better break points saved %: 62.5 to Sa’s 54.8.
• Winners’ edge: Carlsen’s team won 46%, Sa’s team won 35% of the matches they played.
• Longevity: Carlsen has 513 matches across 15 seasons, Sa 136 in 11 — the averages matter more than the totals here.
• Not every stat was recorded for every match (titles, finals): those averages use only the games that logged them.

Built only from games in our stats database. A read of the numbers, not a tip.