The numbers lean Miami Heat Miami Heat edge 4–1 on season record, scoring margin, recent form and recent meetings. 138 meetings in NBA on record. A read of the stats, not a tip.
Miami Heat lead the head to head 82–56 from 138 meetings since 1988. 2026-27: Miami Heat 3–6, Milwaukee Bucks 1–8. Miami Heat have the better margin, -6.6 a game to -12.4. Last five: Miami Heat 3 wins, Milwaukee Bucks 0. Milwaukee Bucks are on a 5-game losing run. Miami Heat average more steals per game: 8.3 to 5.8. Miami Heat average more free throws made per game: 19.2 to 15.3. Miami Heat average more assists per game: 29.2 to 25.9. At home: Miami Heat win 63%, Milwaukee Bucks 58% (every game we hold). Miami Heat’s biggest win in the rivalry: 137–95 in 2021-22, by 42. Head to head 82 138 games 56
13 Mar 2026 · Kaseya Center, Miami 112 105 25 Feb 2026 · Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee 117 128 27 Nov 2025 · Kaseya Center, Miami 106 103 6 Apr 2025 · Kaseya Center, Miami 115 121 24 Feb 2025 · Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee 113 120 24 Jan 2025 · Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee 96 125 27 Nov 2024 · Kaseya Center, Miami 103 106 14 Feb 2024 · Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee 123 97 2026-27 season Per game, this season.
116 1,044 total Scored per gameper game 109.7 987 total
122.6 1,103 total Conceded per gameper game · lower is better 122.1 1,099 total
29.2 263 total Assistsper game 25.9 233 total
8.3 75 total Stealsper game 5.8 52 total
5.1 46 total Blocksper game 4.8 43 total
46.5 Field goal % 43.4
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