The numbers lean Miami Heat Miami Heat edge 4–1 on season record, scoring margin, recent form and recent meetings. 138 meetings in NBA on record. A read of the stats, not a tip.
Miami Heat lead the head to head 82–56 from 138 meetings since 1988. 2026-27: Milwaukee Bucks 1–8, Miami Heat 3–6. Miami Heat have the better margin, -6.6 a game to -12.4. Last five: Milwaukee Bucks 0 wins, Miami Heat 3. Milwaukee Bucks are on a 5-game losing run. Miami Heat average more steals per game: 8.3 to 5.8. Miami Heat average more free throws made per game: 19.2 to 15.3. Miami Heat average more assists per game: 29.2 to 25.9. At home: Milwaukee Bucks win 58%, Miami Heat 63% (every game we hold). Milwaukee Bucks’ biggest win in the rivalry: 144–97 in 2020-21, by 47. Head to head 56 138 games 82
13 Mar 2026 · Kaseya Center, Miami 105 112 25 Feb 2026 · Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee 128 117 27 Nov 2025 · Kaseya Center, Miami 103 106 6 Apr 2025 · Kaseya Center, Miami 121 115 24 Feb 2025 · Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee 120 113 24 Jan 2025 · Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee 125 96 27 Nov 2024 · Kaseya Center, Miami 106 103 14 Feb 2024 · Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee 97 123 2026-27 season Per game, this season.
109.7 987 total Scored per gameper game 116 1,044 total
122.1 1,099 total Conceded per gameper game · lower is better 122.6 1,103 total
25.9 233 total Assistsper game 29.2 263 total
5.8 52 total Stealsper game 8.3 75 total
4.8 43 total Blocksper game 5.1 46 total
43.4 Field goal % 46.5
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