Toronto Maple Leafs v Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL · Ice hockey · every game in our database

TMLToronto Maple Leafs1076–1024–45 all time (since 1999)2026-27: 8–9WLLWLMore power play goalsMore penalty minutes TBLTampa Bay Lightning1160–1013–50 all time (since 1999)2026-27: 10–5LWLWWFewer penalties

Lineball analyst6–6

The numbers lean Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning edge 3–1 on season record, scoring margin, recent form and recent meetings. 105 meetings in NHL on record. A read of the stats, not a tip.

Toronto Maple Leafs lead the head to head 57–46 (2 draws) from 105 meetings since 1999.
2026-27: Toronto Maple Leafs 8–9, Tampa Bay Lightning 10–5. Tampa Bay Lightning have the better margin, +0.7 a game to +0.4.
Tampa Bay Lightning have won the last 2 against Toronto Maple Leafs.
Last five: Toronto Maple Leafs 2 wins, Tampa Bay Lightning 3.
Toronto Maple Leafs average more power play goals per game: 0.9 to 0.6.
Toronto Maple Leafs average more penalty minutes per game: 10.2 to 7.8.
Tampa Bay Lightning concede fewer penalties per game: 3.4 to 4.4.
At home: Toronto Maple Leafs win 54%, Tampa Bay Lightning 59% (every game we hold).

Built only from games in our stats database. A read of the numbers, not a tip.

Head to head

57105 games · 2 drawn
since 199946

8 Mar 2026 · Scotiabank Arena, TorontoToronto Maple Leafs 2Tampa Bay Lightning 5
26 Feb 2026 · Benchmark International Arena, TampaToronto Maple Leafs 2Tampa Bay Lightning 4
9 Dec 2025 · Scotiabank Arena, TorontoToronto Maple Leafs 2Tampa Bay Lightning 0
10 Apr 2025 · Benchmark International Arena, TampaToronto Maple Leafs 4Tampa Bay Lightning 3
21 Jan 2025 · Scotiabank Arena, TorontoToronto Maple Leafs 5Tampa Bay Lightning 3
1 Dec 2024 · Benchmark International Arena, TampaToronto Maple Leafs 5Tampa Bay Lightning 3
22 Oct 2024 · Scotiabank Arena, TorontoToronto Maple Leafs 5Tampa Bay Lightning 2
18 Apr 2024 · Benchmark International Arena, TampaToronto Maple Leafs 4Tampa Bay Lightning 6

2026-27 season

Per game, this season.

3.762 totalScored per gameper game3.756 total
3.356 totalConceded per gameper game · lower is better3.146 total
28.2479 totalShots totalper game30.2453 total
20.7352 totalHitsper game21315 total
15.1256 totalBlocked shotsper game13.7206 total
17,928.3304,781 totalAttendanceper game