Heerden v Edwards

Too close to call — 3–2 on categories

Edwards wins on metres. van Heerden’s case rests on clean breaks. Super Rugby Pacific career: van Heerden 22 matches, Edwards 8 matches.

• Edwards averages 9.5 metres a match to van Heerden’s 5.8 (63% more).
• van Heerden has 2 clean breaks (one every 11.1 matches) to Edwards’ no clean breaks.
• Edwards has 4 defenders beaten (one every 2 matches) to van Heerden’s 6 defenders beaten (one every 3.7 matches).
• Best single match: Edwards 27 metres, van Heerden 23.
• Winners’ edge: van Heerden’s teams won 45%, Edwards’s team won 25% of the matches they played.
• Longevity: van Heerden has 22 matches across 4 seasons, Edwards 8 in 2 — the averages matter more than the totals here.
• Small sample: Edwards (8 matches) — treat the averages with care.

Built only from games in our stats database. A read of the numbers, not a tip.