Heerden v Willis

Too close to call — 4–3 on categories

Willis wins on metres. van Heerden’s case rests on tries. Premiership Rugby career: van Heerden 11 matches, Willis 13 matches.

• van Heerden has 5 tries (one every 2.2 matches) to Willis’ 2 tries (one every 6.7 matches).
• Willis averages 31.9 metres a match to van Heerden’s 11.2 — 2.9 times as many.
• Willis averages 11.2 tackles a match to van Heerden’s 4.6 — 2.5 times as many.
• Winners’ edge: van Heerden’s team won 55%, Willis’s team won 31% of the matches they played.

Built only from games in our stats database. A read of the numbers, not a tip.