Topalova v Mertens

Elise Mertens takes it, 10–3 on categories

Mertens wins on break points saved %. Topalova’s case rests on first serve in %, but it isn’t enough to swing it. WTA Tour career: Topalova 7 matches, Mertens 551 matches.

• Mertens has the better break points saved %: 56.2 to Topalova’s 41.2.
• Mertens has the better first-serve points won %: 67 to Topalova’s 52.1.
• Mertens averages 3.5 aces a match to Topalova’s 0.3 — 12.2 times as many.
• Winners’ edge: Mertens’s team won 61%, Topalova’s team won 29% of the matches they played.
• Longevity: Mertens has 551 matches across 11 seasons, Topalova 7 in 2 — the averages matter more than the totals here.
• Small sample: Topalova (7 matches) — treat the averages with care.

Built only from games in our stats database. A read of the numbers, not a tip.