Queensland Reds v New South Wales Waratahs: what the numbers say
Queensland Reds meet New South Wales Waratahs at Suncorp Stadium, Saturday 7:35pm (Super Rugby Pacific). New South Wales Waratahs have won 9 of the 15 meetings with Queensland Reds since 2016.
The big picture
Queensland Reds come in 5th on the ladder with 37 points; New South Wales Waratahs are 8th on 28. Queensland Reds have the higher position to protect.
Queensland Reds are 8–7 in Super Rugby Pacific 2026, averaging 25.9 points for and 28.8 against.
New South Wales Waratahs are 5–9 in Super Rugby Pacific 2026, averaging 25.2 points for and 28.7 against.
Form
Queensland Reds have won two of their last five and most recently lost to Chiefs 24–46.
New South Wales Waratahs have won one of their last five and most recently lost to Western Force 25–31.
Head to head
These sides have met 15 times on our records since 2016: Queensland Reds 6, New South Wales Waratahs 9.
Last time out (2026), Queensland Reds won 26–17 at Suncorp Stadium.
Biggest margin between these two: New South Wales Waratahs by 24 points in 2026 (36–12).
Players to watch
For Queensland Reds, watch Tim Ryan (0.6 tries a game in 2026) and Harry McLaughlin-Phillips (0.1 tries a game in 2026).
For New South Wales Waratahs, watch Andrew Kellaway (0.3 tries a game in 2026).
At Suncorp Stadium
Queensland Reds have won 12 of their last 18 at Suncorp Stadium.
New South Wales Waratahs have won 0 of 3 at Suncorp Stadium.
What the numbers say
On form, ladder and history, Queensland Reds have the edge.
Written automatically from Lineball's own match and player database. Not betting advice.