Tampa Bay Lightning v Pittsburgh Penguins: what the numbers say
Tampa Bay Lightning meet Pittsburgh Penguins at Benchmark International Arena, Sunday 7:30am (NHL). Tampa Bay Lightning have won their last 8 games at Benchmark International Arena.
The big picture
Tampa Bay Lightning come in 6th on the ladder; Pittsburgh Penguins are 22nd. Tampa Bay Lightning have the higher position to protect.
Tampa Bay Lightning are 10–5 in NHL 2026-27, averaging 3.7 goals for and 3.1 against.
Pittsburgh Penguins are 5–11 in NHL 2026-27, averaging 3.2 goals for and 3.6 against.
Form
Tampa Bay Lightning have won three of their last five and most recently beat Chicago Blackhawks 4–1.
Pittsburgh Penguins have won one of their last five and most recently lost to Boston Bruins 2–6.
Pittsburgh Penguins have lost their last four.
Head to head
These sides have met 97 times on our records since 1999: Tampa Bay Lightning 50, Pittsburgh Penguins 45, 2 drawn.
Last time out (2025-26), Tampa Bay Lightning won 6–3 at Benchmark International Arena.
Biggest margin between these two: Tampa Bay Lightning by 9 goals in 2003-04 (9–0).
Players to watch
For Tampa Bay Lightning, watch Jake Guentzel (8 goals, 7 assists in 2026-27) and Brandon Hagel (8 goals, 9 assists in 2026-27).
For Pittsburgh Penguins, watch Nick Robertson (7 goals in 2026-27) and Evgeni Malkin (6 goals, 5 assists in 2026-27).
At Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning have won 15 of their last 22 at Benchmark International Arena.
The deeper numbers
Tampa Bay Lightning have won their last 8 games at Benchmark International Arena.
What the numbers say
On form, ladder and history, Tampa Bay Lightning go in as clear favourites.
Written automatically from Lineball's own match and player database. Not betting advice.
