The big picture

Mainz come in 12th on the ladder with 10 points; Hamburg SV are 11th on 12. Only a couple of spots separate them, so there is plenty riding on it.

Mainz are 3–4–1 in Bundesliga 2026-27, averaging 2.1 goals for and 2.1 against.

Hamburg SV are 4–5 in Bundesliga 2026-27, averaging 1.1 goals for and 2.2 against.

Form

Mainz have won two of their last five and most recently lost to SV Elversberg 1–4.

Hamburg SV have won three of their last five and most recently beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1.

Head to head

These sides have met 27 times on our records since 2004: Mainz 9, Hamburg SV 9, 9 drawn.

Last time out (2026-27), Mainz won 5–0 at Volksparkstadion.

Biggest margin between these two: Mainz by 5 goals in 2026-27 (5–0).

Players to watch

For Mainz, watch Phillip Tietz (0.6 goals a game in 2026-27) and Anthony Caci (0.4 goals a game, 3 assists in 2026-27).

For Hamburg SV, watch Miro Muheim (0.6 goals a game, 1 assist in 2026-27) and Terem Moffi (0.2 goals a game in 2026-27).

At MEWA ARENA

Mainz have won 4 of their last 20 at MEWA ARENA.

The deeper numbers

Hamburg SV haven't beaten Mainz at MEWA ARENA since 2014-15: 4 meetings there since then.

What the numbers say

On the numbers this is too close to split.