The big picture

Toronto Raptors come in 16th on the ladder; Miami Heat are 18th. Only a couple of spots separate them, so there is plenty riding on it.

Toronto Raptors are 5–4 in NBA 2026-27, averaging 118.2 points for and 112.8 against.

Miami Heat are 3–6 in NBA 2026-27, averaging 116 points for and 122.6 against.

Form

Toronto Raptors have won two of their last five and most recently beat Milwaukee Bucks 121–107.

Miami Heat have won three of their last five and most recently lost to Golden State Warriors 100–120.

Head to head

These sides have met 98 times on our records since 2001: Toronto Raptors 45, Miami Heat 53.

Last time out (2025-26), Toronto Raptors won 128–114 at Scotiabank Arena.

Toronto Raptors have won the last four against Miami Heat.

Biggest margin between these two: Toronto Raptors by 42 points in 2007-08 (96–54).

Players to watch

For Toronto Raptors, watch Scottie Barnes (23.5 points a game, 61 rebounds in 2026-27) and RJ Barrett (21.6 points a game, 55 rebounds in 2026-27).

For Miami Heat, watch Giannis Antetokounmpo (27.3 points a game, 114 rebounds in 2026-27) and Bam Adebayo (18.6 points a game, 76 rebounds in 2026-27).

At Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Raptors have won 13 of their last 17 at Scotiabank Arena.

What the numbers say

On the numbers this is too close to split.