The big picture

Miami Heat come in 18th on the ladder; Milwaukee Bucks are 29th. Miami Heat have the higher position to protect.

Miami Heat are 6–8 in NBA 2026-27, averaging 120.3 points for and 122.5 against.

Milwaukee Bucks are 3–11 in NBA 2026-27, averaging 109.6 points for and 121.3 against.

Form

Miami Heat have won three of their last five and most recently lost to Golden State Warriors 100–120.

Milwaukee Bucks have won zero of their last five and most recently lost to Toronto Raptors 107–121.

Milwaukee Bucks have lost their last five.

Head to head

These sides have met 109 times on our records since 2001: Miami Heat 60, Milwaukee Bucks 49.

Last time out (2025-26), Miami Heat won 112–105 at Kaseya Center.

Biggest margin between these two: Milwaukee Bucks by 47 points in 2020-21 (144–97).

Players to watch

For Miami Heat, watch Giannis Antetokounmpo (24.4 points a game, 137 rebounds in 2026-27) and Bam Adebayo (16.9 points a game, 86 rebounds in 2026-27).

For Milwaukee Bucks, watch Tyler Herro (20.6 points a game, 61 rebounds in 2026-27) and Jaime Jaquez Jr. (14.2 points a game, 68 rebounds in 2026-27).

At Kaseya Center

Miami Heat have won 13 of their last 21 at Kaseya Center.

What the numbers say

On form, ladder and history, Miami Heat go in as clear favourites.